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Τετάρτη 3 Απριλίου 2013

Meet the Only Pundit on Earth Who Thinks the GOP Can Win Voters by Ramping up the Drug War


"Republicans once again should take a
strong stand against drug use and legalization," writes former Bush
41 staffer Peter Wehner in the Washington Post. "Virtually
no lawmaker in either party is doing so."


If you're like me, you probably want the next paragraph to
explain why no one in Washington, D.C. is railing
against legalization. But Wehner doesn't even take a crack at the
question. Instead, he
shuffles through
a list of talking points that held sway during
his tenure in the Bush 41 White House, but which were pretty much
dead by the time "Got the Life" was retired after 65 days
on Total Request Live. (That was a joke about the
90s.)


And yet Wehner would have you believe that legalization can be
stopped in its tracks using these arguments; they "simply need to
be deployed." So let's deploy them:


1.) "The vast majority of people who are addicted to
harder drugs started by using marijuana."


This is a reverse version of the old gateway claim, which Wehner
likely didn't use in its original form because we now know that

alcohol is more of a gateway drug than marijuana
. So instead of
saying that the vast majority of marijuana users go on to use
harder drugs, Wehner says that most people who use hard drugs
started with marijuana. That's like saying the vast majority of
mass shooters started by playing Duck Hunter; or, that the
vast majority of sex workers started by playing with Barbies. The
claim is only meaningful if there's a verifiable causal
relationship between the two activities. In this case, there's not:
There were 18.1 million regular marijuana users in the U.S. in 2011
(which means they used it in the 30 days prior to being surveyed)
1.4 million regular cocaine users, and 281,000 regular heroin
users. The causal relationship between marijuana and hard drugs is
very, very weak. 


2.) "Drug legalization will lead to more cases of
addiction, which shatters lives."


Even under prohibition we can't stop people from developing
chemical dependence on drugs. What we do have control over is how
we treat the small number of people whose chemical dependence leads
them to commit crimes. Currently, we consign the bulk of these
addicts to prisons or homeless shelters, where drugs are plentiful.
One of the best arguments for drug reform--as
evidenced by Portugal's decriminalization strategy
--is that
there are more holistic and humane ways to help these people.


It's also worth mentioning that the addiction rate for most
illicit drugs is lower
than people realize
: 23 percent for heroin, 17 percent for
cocaine, and 9 percent for marijuana. Alcohol, with a prevalence
for dependence rate of 17 percent, is more like cocaine; and
tobacco, with an addiction rate of 32 percent, is worse than pretty
much everything.


3.) "One of the main deterrents to drug use is because
it is illegal. If drugs become legal, their price will go down and
use will go up."


In 2011, according to the National Survey on Drug Use and
Health, 18.1 million people reportedly used marijuana,
but according to the FBI
, only 658,000 people were arrested
that year for marijuana possession. The same disparity exists for
harder drugs: Roughly 2 million people reportedly used heroin or
cocaine in 2011, but only 260,000 people were arrested for
possessing heroin, cocaine, or one of their derivatives. This tells
us not only that illegality is a weak deterrent, but that making it
an effective one would require arresting millions more people than
we currently do. Millions. 


As for the price of legal pot: The news coming out of Washington
state and Colorado suggests that excise taxes will be high, which
means the price of legal pot will be close to black market rates.
If I thought Wehner's biggest concern is that legalization would
result in a free-for-all, I'd tell him not to worry one bit.

As Mark Kleiman (who is consulting Washington state on their
regulations) put it
: "[A] legal cannabis market should be run
to protect public health and safety, not to maximize revenues."
That's likely what we'll see in every state that taxes and
regulates pot.


But it appears that Wehner actually sees drugs as a front in the
culture war. Bad simply because they're bad, regardless of what the
science says. That's the only explanation I can come up with for
why he spends roughly half of his alotted op-ed space arguing
that



Drug legalization...would send an unmistakable signal to
everyone, including the young: Drug use is not a big deal. We’re
giving up. Have at it.


[D]rug use is wrong because it is morally problematic, because
of what it can do to mind and soul. Indeed, in some liberal and
libertarian circles, the “language of morality” is ridiculed. It is
considered unenlightened, benighted and simplistic. The role of the
state is to maximize individual liberty and be indifferent to human
character.



I don't know if Wehner thinks parents in Colorado and Washington
who voted to legalize marijuana want their children to "have at
it," but that's essentially what he's saying. He's also saying that
it doesn't matter if legalization and decriminalization are
successful. I don't suggest the GOP follow his lead. 

Τρίτη 26 Μαρτίου 2013

Most Afghans Are Certain The Demons Of Myth Actually Roam The Earth

All cultures have fairy tales and folklore, stories that teach morality or emphasize the importance of not going into dark or dangerous places all by yourself. Some are so effective that they leave our siblings too terrified to go swimming in the ocean as kids, and, to this day, if I hear noises coming from under my bed in the middle of the night I’m high-tailing it out of my room and not coming back without some silver bullets or a wooden stake or a priest/rabbi/shaman or&something. (What?&Jaws&and&The Exorcist&were what passed for fairy tales in my house growing up. Thanks, Dad.) Like us, Afghans have myths and stories, legends and monsters. Overall, though, they tend to be a bit more superstitious than your average American. Not many Americans (openly) believe in fairies, dragons or headless horsemen. Until it’s dark anyway. And a whole lot of us still knock on wood or toss spilled salt over our left shoulders or even just say “bless you” when someone sneezes. They may be reflexive, but we still often do them. Many Afghans, though, are pretty certain that the monsters of yore are still stomping around the earth. While out on a patrol with some local policemen, we came across this grave marker: It was about 20 meters (about 65 feet) long. One of the policemen pointed at it and said, “This was a famous giant. He was almost 20 meters tall, that is why his grave is so long.” “A giant?” I asked, perhaps a touch skeptically. “Yes!” chimed in a second one. “As recently as 80 &years ago, there were giants all over in this area!” “Ah, so maybe just really tall people, like 2.5 meters (8-9 feet). That happens sometimes,” I replied. “No, no!” a third guy insisted. “Not just tall people, real giants. This man was a small one at only 20 meters. Some were as tall as 30 meters (almost 100 feet)!” I continued to be somewhat cynical, thinking they were pulling my leg and trying to suggest that if the grave marker was any indication of his size, he had been 20 meters tall, but really, really, really skinny. Not only did my sarcasm fall on deaf ears, it actually insulted the Afghans. Before I knew it, I had a whole squad of Afghan police who were pretty angry and yelling at me. My interpreter, who had a university education and had lived abroad, was no exception–he was vehemently supporting them. As I stood there somewhat flabbergasted, one of my colleagues stepped in with our stories about giants, such as David and Goliath, and came across as much more open-minded. That mollified the crowd somewhat, and they explained that people’s grandparents had seen the giants and had told their grandchildren about them, so it must be true. In the end, the Afghans&knewthat giants had roamed the earth within living memory and nothing some disbelieving (female) American could say was going to change the truth. In my defense, my interpreter later admitted that Afghans do get a kick out of misleading people, especially Americans, about goofy things like this, and had they been doing so, I would have earned super cool points for calling them out. It just happened that the one time I thought they were joking, they weren’t. In addition to giants, I knew of one mountain nearby that was inhabited by a dragon, who flew around with a giant diamond in its mouth and would eat anyone who went up the mountain alone at night. Not too far from that mountain was another one where evil dwarves lived, who would kill you if you went up their mountain alone at night. (Lesson: don’t go up mountains alone at night.) Last but not least are the djinn (no, they don’t grant wishes). In Islam, they are beings of fire created before humans. There are good djinn and evil djinn, Muslim djinn, Christian djinn and heathen djinn. And a lot of mischievous djinn. We can’t see them, but they’re everywhere, living under your stairs or in your garden or even your kitchen sink if you have one. And, like Americans and ghosts, most Afghans aren’t too troubled by djinn by the light of day. A good recitation of the first line of the Qur’an will scare them away, but once it gets dark…well, best not to take any chances. Please follow Military & Defense on Twitter and Facebook.Join the conversation about this story »